h1techSlave
06-12 12:15 PM
One big missing piece in your analysis - Country quota.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
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oldschool
08-15 09:28 AM
Are there any implications of leaving my employer now who sponsored me for GC? I got my GC on the first week of July. I plan to leave on the 1st week of September. Thank you very much.
Addendum: I applied for AOS for my spouse this July. Will there be a problem with her AOS?
Addendum: I applied for AOS for my spouse this July. Will there be a problem with her AOS?
schrodinger
08-10 11:13 PM
This is def not right...I checked out the 'News' section (see link below) on the website which published the bulletin...how come they have published only the Sept bulletin and NOT any other month's bulletin....
Pederson Immigration Law Group, P.C. - News (http://www.usvisainfo.com/content/category/1/1/31/)
Pederson Immigration Law Group, P.C. - News (http://www.usvisainfo.com/content/category/1/1/31/)
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Caliber
04-01 03:12 PM
Thanks a lot Praveen and Amit. Hope your action will motivate others too.
God bless you.
God bless you.
more...
mallu
06-21 08:24 PM
Those of you who are now thinking that being able to file 485 will give you freedom - just read through the list to see how many 485 filers (mainly Indians and Chinese) are stuck in the name check russian roullette.
http://www.petitiononline.com/mod_perl/signed.cgi?nc082505
This is one of the biggest bottleneck to 485 and naturalization processing. Most would think it would catch moslems - in reality it catches anyone in "hi-tech" and more often than not Indians, Chinese and Russians. And ofcourse Koreans too. One of the person's stuck in name check commented on the above link - if the FBI knew that a fifth of the nation shares the last name Kim! I guess the same would go for Wu, Yu, Zhou, Singh, Kumar etc.
Different problems at different stages in the path to GC !
http://www.petitiononline.com/mod_perl/signed.cgi?nc082505
This is one of the biggest bottleneck to 485 and naturalization processing. Most would think it would catch moslems - in reality it catches anyone in "hi-tech" and more often than not Indians, Chinese and Russians. And ofcourse Koreans too. One of the person's stuck in name check commented on the above link - if the FBI knew that a fifth of the nation shares the last name Kim! I guess the same would go for Wu, Yu, Zhou, Singh, Kumar etc.
Different problems at different stages in the path to GC !
shimul99
10-25 03:54 PM
No vkkkk, I'm not playing. What some people are saying is logic and what i'm saying is the fact. You seems new in this form. But i think most of the people here are serious and try share their sufferings, free help from freinds (virtual).
Anyway, My lawyer used the PERM. right after i received my Labor (may 2006) I had to renew my H1b which took 6 months (regular processing). After i received my renewal I sent my I-140 application. I didn't even bother to use the premium processing for my i140 because the i485 was not current that time, instead it way way back as a EB3. anyway, you know the rest of the story.....
You signature shows like
Labor approved May 06
I-140 Applied Feb 8, 2007 (Approved Sep 18, 2007)
I-485 Applied Jun 29,2007...Received Receipt on July 31, 2007
Status - Pending
but how it is possible
I-140 Applied Feb 8, 2007 (Approved Sep 18, 2007).
currently 140 processing dates around Nov/dec-06.
Are you trying to play with people feelings?
Anyway, My lawyer used the PERM. right after i received my Labor (may 2006) I had to renew my H1b which took 6 months (regular processing). After i received my renewal I sent my I-140 application. I didn't even bother to use the premium processing for my i140 because the i485 was not current that time, instead it way way back as a EB3. anyway, you know the rest of the story.....
You signature shows like
Labor approved May 06
I-140 Applied Feb 8, 2007 (Approved Sep 18, 2007)
I-485 Applied Jun 29,2007...Received Receipt on July 31, 2007
Status - Pending
but how it is possible
I-140 Applied Feb 8, 2007 (Approved Sep 18, 2007).
currently 140 processing dates around Nov/dec-06.
Are you trying to play with people feelings?
more...
anilsal
10-31 12:15 AM
Read someplace long ago that FOIA requests have upto 2 years turn around time.
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vgayalu
03-02 07:38 PM
After my contribution I asked two more friends to contribute at least for small amounts.One contributed $200- 00. The other one also promised .
Please encourage others. It is our own work. Let us gear up in contributions and spirit.
vgayulu
Please encourage others. It is our own work. Let us gear up in contributions and spirit.
vgayulu
more...
NKR
08-18 04:39 PM
If we have children, I would prefer to have them at home.
Aren't you going to the hospital? :), just kidding, i know what you meant.
Aren't you going to the hospital? :), just kidding, i know what you meant.
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ars01
07-09 01:32 PM
Popoye,
You have a little tricky situation at hand, but you'll be okay if what you wrote is true - Your employer will not revoke your pending I-140. Not only that, they have to be nice enough to respond to any RFEs that come for your case. they can state that the imimgration application they filed for you is for a future position.
Also, USCIS has a guideline about these cases. They are supposed to see if your I-140 was 'approvable' if it had been adjudicated within 180 days or before you leave the company, which I think it should be.
I understand there are some anxious days ahead for you, but If I had to bet, I would bet on successful result of your case in the end :).
Just make sure that your old employer doesn't revoke your I-140
BTW, when was your I-140 filed?
cheers
The following is copied directly from a USCIS memorandum:
"If the Form I-140 (�immigrant petition�) has been approved and the Form I-485
(�adjustment application�) has been filed and remained unadjudicated for 180 days or more (as measured from the Form I-485 receipt date), the approved Form I-140 will remain valid even if the alien changes jobs or employers as long as the new offer of employment is in the same or similar occupation.1 If the Form I-485 has been pending for less than 180 days, then the approved Form I-140 shall not remain valid with respect to a new offer of employment."
Looks like I-140 must be approved to use AC-21.
You have a little tricky situation at hand, but you'll be okay if what you wrote is true - Your employer will not revoke your pending I-140. Not only that, they have to be nice enough to respond to any RFEs that come for your case. they can state that the imimgration application they filed for you is for a future position.
Also, USCIS has a guideline about these cases. They are supposed to see if your I-140 was 'approvable' if it had been adjudicated within 180 days or before you leave the company, which I think it should be.
I understand there are some anxious days ahead for you, but If I had to bet, I would bet on successful result of your case in the end :).
Just make sure that your old employer doesn't revoke your I-140
BTW, when was your I-140 filed?
cheers
The following is copied directly from a USCIS memorandum:
"If the Form I-140 (�immigrant petition�) has been approved and the Form I-485
(�adjustment application�) has been filed and remained unadjudicated for 180 days or more (as measured from the Form I-485 receipt date), the approved Form I-140 will remain valid even if the alien changes jobs or employers as long as the new offer of employment is in the same or similar occupation.1 If the Form I-485 has been pending for less than 180 days, then the approved Form I-140 shall not remain valid with respect to a new offer of employment."
Looks like I-140 must be approved to use AC-21.
more...
indyanguy
09-22 04:09 PM
Had called last time.. Called again.. Hope they stay long enough without recess to discuss this bill tomorrow !!!! :mad:
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waitin_toolong
07-16 11:23 AM
First we need to consider why you need life insurance
--- to pay for your death
or
---- to take care of your dependants in the event of your untimely death.
Considering all this all financial advisors (the ones not working on comission) recomend getting at least 10 times your salary for the working spouse and 0 for non-working spouse and none for children. You may want to buy some insurance for non-working spouse if they are the primary home care provider for kids and you will incur child care expenses in case of untimely death.
The other part of their recommendation is that buy level term for the period you anticipate taht you will be working. This ensures that you pay the same premium throughout the period of policy, you dont get anything back ever, though the beneficiaries will get the benefit if you die before the term expires.
The cost of these plans for a healthy person between ages 25-35 is around $20-40 a month.
A lot of people push whole life insurance but you dont really need a whole life insurance anyways, and the investment component comes with huge cost, same with universal life insurance.
I know a lot of people will diagree with the views presented here but these are based on several advisors that dont make money off of their recommendations. I just happen to agree and if you choose to disagree that is just your point of view and I respect your decision, so please dont start arguing with me.
--- to pay for your death
or
---- to take care of your dependants in the event of your untimely death.
Considering all this all financial advisors (the ones not working on comission) recomend getting at least 10 times your salary for the working spouse and 0 for non-working spouse and none for children. You may want to buy some insurance for non-working spouse if they are the primary home care provider for kids and you will incur child care expenses in case of untimely death.
The other part of their recommendation is that buy level term for the period you anticipate taht you will be working. This ensures that you pay the same premium throughout the period of policy, you dont get anything back ever, though the beneficiaries will get the benefit if you die before the term expires.
The cost of these plans for a healthy person between ages 25-35 is around $20-40 a month.
A lot of people push whole life insurance but you dont really need a whole life insurance anyways, and the investment component comes with huge cost, same with universal life insurance.
I know a lot of people will diagree with the views presented here but these are based on several advisors that dont make money off of their recommendations. I just happen to agree and if you choose to disagree that is just your point of view and I respect your decision, so please dont start arguing with me.
more...
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funny
09-22 01:44 PM
Sorry folks for creating one more thread...But i think its time to get energized again and start afresh( some people might not be looking into the IV call campaign...becuase of too much depression..resulting from the HORSE discussion last week in the senate..)
People..start burning those phone lines again...
Schedule on 23rd September - Tomorrow
http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/calendar.html
People..start burning those phone lines again...
Schedule on 23rd September - Tomorrow
http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/calendar.html
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boreal
10-10 10:12 PM
I hope it does some good to you and makes your PD current/closer so that you dont eat/sleep/drink VB. C mon man... There are other things you can do. Dont get offended by what I am saying. If your PD is closer, I can understand your excitement. But a lot of people are just killing time in forums by working their ass off on predictions and call it comic relief. I hope IV core members stop encouraging this kind of behavior.
Oh God! Take a break buddy. Why does everything have to end with - "please close this thread" or "hope someone closes this thread.." If you dont like to read something, just ignore the thread..dont show off the two feet inside the big mouth!!
Oh God! Take a break buddy. Why does everything have to end with - "please close this thread" or "hope someone closes this thread.." If you dont like to read something, just ignore the thread..dont show off the two feet inside the big mouth!!
more...
pictures megan fox before surgery
desi3933
06-18 12:17 PM
AND ONE MORE THING. THESE PROCESSING DATES ARE FOR RENEWAL APPLICATIONS. NOT FOR NEW APPLICATIONS. FROM MY EXPERIENCE I SAW FIRST TIME FILERS ARE GETTING THEM IMMEDIATELY THAN RENEWALS WHICH WERE TAKING 2-3 MONTHS.
Incorrect. It does not matter if it is initial or a renewal.
Incorrect. It does not matter if it is initial or a renewal.
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sidchhikara
05-14 06:38 PM
this is my 10th year in the US & never had a single incident along the racial lines.. probably I lucked out.. However, I don't subscribe to this opinion of removing moustache..... I am proud of my bushy moustache & have had women admire that at/outside work.. But I do agree 100% on all the other points you raised..
Brother, I take the moustache part back, I put that in from the point of view of popular culture, because I have heard that the ladies like clean shaven men!! But If the opposite works for you - Enjoy and I hope you get lucky!!
Brother, I take the moustache part back, I put that in from the point of view of popular culture, because I have heard that the ladies like clean shaven men!! But If the opposite works for you - Enjoy and I hope you get lucky!!
more...
makeup seems to have been Megan
nixstor
04-16 02:01 PM
Simple. really.
I personally know few guys (and gals) who have returned - to india. And I bet they have better things to do than hanging out on IV.
As of now you and us don't have better things to do other than hanging out on IV?? What is a better thing differs from person to person. This forum intended for people who want to immigrate to the US. Not for people who intend to go back to India/native countries as they do not have an intent to immigrate. Its no brainer that people in India/Romania/Bhutan do not snoop on IV. Immigration is different from investment. Period.
O M G! This is absolutely pathetic.
How can people even think that India will take over US with out manufacturing or infrastructure?
How the hell on earth does USD will become 10 Rs etc unless US is in Iraq for ever or some thing disastrous happens?
Yes right! GreenSpan's Bernanke's of US will let USD shrink for ever. Law makers in US dont care about whether the country is going down the flush or not.
Bush will amend the constitution to be the president and rip the economy with his 11 trillion war.
Keep hallucinating. What ever!
I am not an economics geek, but plain simple facts tell me that India is nothing but back office of the world and no country can be on top of the world by just being the back office.
I personally know few guys (and gals) who have returned - to india. And I bet they have better things to do than hanging out on IV.
As of now you and us don't have better things to do other than hanging out on IV?? What is a better thing differs from person to person. This forum intended for people who want to immigrate to the US. Not for people who intend to go back to India/native countries as they do not have an intent to immigrate. Its no brainer that people in India/Romania/Bhutan do not snoop on IV. Immigration is different from investment. Period.
O M G! This is absolutely pathetic.
How can people even think that India will take over US with out manufacturing or infrastructure?
How the hell on earth does USD will become 10 Rs etc unless US is in Iraq for ever or some thing disastrous happens?
Yes right! GreenSpan's Bernanke's of US will let USD shrink for ever. Law makers in US dont care about whether the country is going down the flush or not.
Bush will amend the constitution to be the president and rip the economy with his 11 trillion war.
Keep hallucinating. What ever!
I am not an economics geek, but plain simple facts tell me that India is nothing but back office of the world and no country can be on top of the world by just being the back office.
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MD_123
03-05 08:42 PM
After reading about IV's efforts, I quickly decided to join and I will mail in my contribution tomorrow.
I'm so impressed by the level of organization and commitment. Keep up the excellent work everyone.
I'm so impressed by the level of organization and commitment. Keep up the excellent work everyone.
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BharatPremi
11-08 12:32 PM
BharatPremi is my "IV person of the Day" - I see a lot of energy in his posts, and yes yabadaba, everyone must loosen up a bit, and look at the positive in every message.
BharatPremi's response was also appropriate and was a stronger version of our responses :)
Thanks.
BharatPremi's response was also appropriate and was a stronger version of our responses :)
Thanks.
chanduv23
11-08 02:27 PM
You get 3 greens from me :)
excellent post
"Happy Diwali" to anybody on this forum who accepts the Hindu faith.
I don't think wishing Happy Diwali to fellows of a common faith qualifies as hate mongering; same as a Muslim wishing a fellow Muslim "Eid Mubarak" or a Christian wishing a fellow Chrisitian "Merry Christmas" does not qualify as hate mongering.
All said and done this is an open forum where potential immigrants to this country (where there is a long history of separation of state and religion) are free to express their opinion.
USA has certainly benefited from having different cultures live together side by side (within the realm of a common civil and criminal law). Suppression of cultures is more in tune with the ertswhile Soviet policy of suppression of various cultures (Georgian, Ukrainian, the list goes on); and we all know what happpened to Soviet Russia.
There is no reason potential legal immigrants of different faith should not open a new thread to wish people of fellow faith on commonly celebrated festivals. There is no great reason to pursue political correct speak to the degree where you would have to create a common greeting message if we want to wish "Happy Diwali" to fellow Hindus.
People of different faiths certainly have the freedom to post a similar message. After all the pool of potential legal immigrants is far and wide.
And I would certainly be happy for fellow Chinese, Muslims, Chrisitians, Buddhists, Jains, Sikhs, Native Americans, Mexicans, Portuegese, Spanish, Greeks, Albanians, Croats, Serbs, Basque, Irish, SriLankan, Bangladeshis, Eritreans, Ethiopians, Somalis, Germans, French, Bralizians, Colombian, Ecuadarean, Argentinians, Chilean, Haitians, West Indians (the list is incomplete mind you) when somebody from their community puts up a message wishing their fellows the arrival of a happy community event.
The voice of these communities is the "Voice" of "Immigration". It would be foolhardy to try to suppress this voice in favor of political correct speak.
We are all working toward the same goal (pursuit of happiness); denial of one's culture and simple traditions is not in tune with this pursuit.
Just my 2 cents.
Regards.
excellent post
"Happy Diwali" to anybody on this forum who accepts the Hindu faith.
I don't think wishing Happy Diwali to fellows of a common faith qualifies as hate mongering; same as a Muslim wishing a fellow Muslim "Eid Mubarak" or a Christian wishing a fellow Chrisitian "Merry Christmas" does not qualify as hate mongering.
All said and done this is an open forum where potential immigrants to this country (where there is a long history of separation of state and religion) are free to express their opinion.
USA has certainly benefited from having different cultures live together side by side (within the realm of a common civil and criminal law). Suppression of cultures is more in tune with the ertswhile Soviet policy of suppression of various cultures (Georgian, Ukrainian, the list goes on); and we all know what happpened to Soviet Russia.
There is no reason potential legal immigrants of different faith should not open a new thread to wish people of fellow faith on commonly celebrated festivals. There is no great reason to pursue political correct speak to the degree where you would have to create a common greeting message if we want to wish "Happy Diwali" to fellow Hindus.
People of different faiths certainly have the freedom to post a similar message. After all the pool of potential legal immigrants is far and wide.
And I would certainly be happy for fellow Chinese, Muslims, Chrisitians, Buddhists, Jains, Sikhs, Native Americans, Mexicans, Portuegese, Spanish, Greeks, Albanians, Croats, Serbs, Basque, Irish, SriLankan, Bangladeshis, Eritreans, Ethiopians, Somalis, Germans, French, Bralizians, Colombian, Ecuadarean, Argentinians, Chilean, Haitians, West Indians (the list is incomplete mind you) when somebody from their community puts up a message wishing their fellows the arrival of a happy community event.
The voice of these communities is the "Voice" of "Immigration". It would be foolhardy to try to suppress this voice in favor of political correct speak.
We are all working toward the same goal (pursuit of happiness); denial of one's culture and simple traditions is not in tune with this pursuit.
Just my 2 cents.
Regards.
looivy
07-14 06:22 PM
They are cashing (name or headlines) on our people's hardwork. They have no right to take credit for other people's effort. How many folks did they send to today's rally or how many flowers did they send?
Does it really matter who the messenger is as long as the message gets through?
Does it really matter who the messenger is as long as the message gets through?